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The Future of U.S.-Israel Relations

Four Diplomatic Experts Explore the Perils and Possibilities at Schneier Program Event On Wednesday, March 15, four experts on American-Israeli politics鈥攆ormer U.S. Senator Joseph Lieberman, former Israeli ambassador Danny Ayalon, former U.S. Ambassador Daniel Kurtzer 鈥71YC and former Israel Ambassador Dan Arbell鈥攎et to discuss the relationship between the two countries under the new presidency at a symposium hosted by the Rabbi Arthur Schneier Program for International Affairs. Under the capable facilitation of Dr. Bernard Firestone 鈥70YC, a Hofstra dean and specialist in international affairs, an audience of more than 100 people listened as the panelists shared an intriguing consensus: while ties between the U.S. and Israel are strong and likely to remain so, unpredictable factors at play in the current American political arena create a certain level of ambiguity in the relationship.
(l-r): Danny Ayalon, Joseph Lieberman, Bernard Firestone, Daniel Kurtzer and Dan Arbell (l-r): Danny Ayalon, Joseph Lieberman, Bernard Firestone, Daniel Kurtzer and Dan Arbell
  According to the speakers, that ambiguity is due to the mixed statements and actions of President Donald Trump. Lieberman, who is the Joseph Lieberman Chair in Public Service and Public Policy at 每日大瓜, noted that the American policy is a 鈥渨ork in progress." Ayalon, the Rennert Visiting Professor of Foreign Policy Studies, added that the President鈥檚 comments seem to indicate that 鈥渉e is not bound by any preconditions so that he can have leverage with all parties in order to induce resumption of the negotiations鈥攁 tactic that may well come out of the way he negotiated as a businessman.鈥 Kurtzer observed that, as with the President鈥檚 notorious statement about the complexity of the American health care system, Trump is likely still learning how delicate and complicated the situation in the Middle East is. But his actions so far, such as the budget cuts to the State Department and policy being run by what Kurtzer called 鈥渘eophytes鈥 in the White House, make it difficult to know where he stands. Firestone shifted the focus to the topic at the heart of any discussion about the U.S and Israel: resolving the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians. He asked the panel to weigh in on the success of the current strategy, known as 鈥渙utside-in,鈥 in which Israel and the U.S. first seek to improve relations with the Gulf Arab states and then have those states foster an Israeli-Palestinian agreement, and whether this approach offers any new way to unlock the peace process. Arbell was skeptical about its success. 鈥淣o one really knows if this approach, which is the talk of the town in Washington D.C., is feasible,鈥 he said. 鈥淣o one knows if the Saudis or the Gulf states are willing to go the extra mile and express support for the Israeli-Palestinian process without anything actually taking place.鈥 Kurtzer added that for the 鈥渙utside-in鈥 to work, there must also be an 鈥渋nside-out鈥 from the two parties involved, and one can鈥檛 reasonably expect the Gulf states 鈥渢o do the heavy lifting on this effort.鈥 In the end, the four panelists, who all agreed that the two-state solution is the only solution, called for a new multidimensional approach. Ayalon insisted that efforts must move away from a 鈥渮ero-sum mentality.鈥 Kurtzer called for a discussion that would yield a better definition of 鈥渢he shape of the state,鈥 and Lieberman hoped that the impulse for peace in citizens on both sides would be revived as a counterbalance to conservative tendencies in the region. Arbell believed that progress would be possible if the President鈥檚 focus on the issue remains committed. The panelists also touched on such topics as whether any American president is ultimately vital to a peace process that must be worked out between the parties on the ground, the polarizing natures of David Friedman (the President鈥檚 nominee for ambassador to Israel) and Ron Dermer (the Israeli ambassador to the United States), the declining political importance of Israel to the American electorate and divisions within the Jewish community. 鈥淭he Schneier Program enriches intellectual life at 每日大瓜 by hosting programs, panel discussions, films and community outreach programs that promote political awareness, understanding and tolerance in the world,鈥 said Dr. Ruth Bevan-Dunner, director of the Schneier Program. For more information about the Program, visit www.yu.edu/schneier.  

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